DP14 | The Effect of Protection on Manufactured Exports from Developing Countries

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The growing pressures for protection in industrialised countries against manufactured exports from developing countries appear to threaten the rapid rate of growth and market penetration of these countries' exports. An examination of the evidence suggests that whilst protection appears to have reduced the rate of growth of imports of manufactures from the Newly Industrialised Countries, the largest four appear to have successfully switched products and markets. A second group of medium middle income countries have done very well despite protection. A model consistent with this experience is provided, which describes the acquisition of exporting expertise by newcomers.