DP323 | Fundamental Equilibrium Exchange Rates for the G7

Publication Date

01/06/1989

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Abstract

The Fundamental Equilibrium Exchange Rate (FEER) is the real exchange rate which produces a current account that is exactly matched by equilibrium medium-term capital flows. This paper sets out a small model to calculate FEERs for the G7 from 1971 to 1988. This model's parameters are either directly estimated or derived from the long-run properties of a larger world econometric model, GEM. Particular attention is paid to feedbacks from the FEER to the NAIRU, and interactions between world output, trade and commodity prices.