DP838 | Fixing Exchange Rates: A Virtual Quest for Fundamentals

Publication Date


JEL Code(s)


Programme Area(s)



Fixed exchange rates are less volatile than floating rates. The volatility of macroeconomic variables, such as money and output, does not change very much across exchange rate regimes, however. This suggests that exchange rate models based only on macroeconomic fundamentals are unlikely to be very successful. It also suggests that there is no clear trade-off between reduced exchange rate volatility and macroeconomic stability.